Should you trade up in a falling market?
Should I Move House?
Trading up in a falling market can work well, but in this market you'll need a decent amount of equity to be able to afford to move. If you have 25% plus equity in your home, you may well be able - as some buyers have since the credit crunch - to trade up to a property that you thought would be out of your reach some years ago.
For example if you own a property worth £150,000 at the height of 2007 and property prices are currently down by 20%, it'll be worth £120,000. Say you are buying a property previously worth £300,000, it will hopefully have also dropped by 20%, so will now be on the market for £240,000. This would be a massive saving. Not only does it cost £60,000 less, but it's also fallen from the 3% stamp duty bracket into the 1% bracket, so instead of paying £9,000 tax to buy it, you'll only be paying £2,400 - which is a massive saving!
The difficulty you will have though is prior to the credit crunch you would have only typically needed a 10% deposit, which would be £24,000. Now you are likely to need a 25% deposit, so you may have to fork out around £60,000 deposit to get a decent mortgage rate!
The other difficulty you have is if you purchase the new property for £240,000 and property prices keep falling throughout 2012, say by a further 5%, your £240,000 property may only be worth £228,000. If this fall means your equity levels dip below 25%, unless the banks are suddenly much more generous with their mortgage offers, this may mean it's tough to re-mortgage. It will also mean if you suddenly get sick, lose your job or as a couple split up, it may make it impossible to move or sell the property quickly.
So the three golden rules to trading up in a falling market are:-
- Make sure you intend to stay in the property for more than five years
- Have back up plans for sickness, job loss or splitting up
- Check at worst you can rent the property and cover your costs if you have to
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